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Prediction markets
15 active markets
· category “Science”
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How to trade
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
≤6
1%
Yes
No
7
5%
Yes
No
$31K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$100
41 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
3-4"
39%
5-6"
14%
4 more
$14K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$65
46 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
70%
1.25–1.29ºC
22%
4 more
$21K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
45 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
0
72%
Yes
No
1
22%
Yes
No
$11K
Vol.
Jul 19
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
43 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
86%
3rd hottest
10%
2 more
$58K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
40 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
425-450mm
26%
500-525mm
23%
8 more
$11K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$96
34 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
John Pardon
98%
Hong Wang
98%
9 more
$662K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
1800+
95%
2000+
95%
4 more
$19K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
35 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
48%
December 31
46%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
37 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$576K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$263
48 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$119K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
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